UFC Vegas 18 Justin Jaynes Odds and Fighter Profile: Justin Jaynes has three career UFC bouts, with all three of them ending by way of stoppage. Bettors who have backed the ‘Under’ in all three of Jaynes’ career UFC fights have profited +3.16 units, with a 3-0 record. On Saturday, Justin Jaynes takes on Devonte Smith in his 4th UFC fight in less than a calendar year.
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Odds.com’s James Lynch talks to Justin Jaynes (16-6) before his 160-pound catchweight fight against Devonte Smith (10-2) at UFC Vegas 18 this Saturday.
UFC Fighter | Justin Jaynes |
---|---|
Professional Record | 16-6 |
Age | 31 years old |
Height | 5’7 |
Reach | 67.5′ |
Wins by T/KO | 8 |
Finish Rate | 87% |
Justin Jaynes made his professional MMA debut in 2013 in ‘Big John’s MMA’ promotion. He didn’t make his UFC debut until just this past June, and strung together three fights with the promotion over the summer of 2020, going 1-2. Jaynes made his UFC debut at Lightweight, and has fought at Featherweight in the UFC as well.
Justin Jaynes has only had three fights with professional odds posted, all three were in the UFC in 2020. Jaynes picked up the stoppage victory on 41 seconds over Frank Camacho at UFC Vegas 3, cashing as a heavy +260 underdog. Jaynes was rewarded a performance of the night bonus for that 1st round win. Jaynes then followed it up two months later with yet another performance of the night. However, this time Jaynes picked up the L in a coin-flip fight against Gavin Tucker, getting stopped by Tucker in the 3rd round, via a rear-naked choke. Jaynes finished his 2020 by taking on Gabriel Benitez, losing the fight as a +190 underdog via a first round knee to the body.
Justin Jaynes | Record | Profit (Units) |
---|---|---|
Opp. Inside the Distance | 2-1 | +3.95u |
Under | 3-0 | +3.16u |
Inside the Distance | 1-2 | +2.5u |
Fight Doesn’t Go Distance | 3-0 | +2.09u |
to Win Outright | 1-2 | +0.6u |
Opp. to Win Outright | 2-1 | +0.38u |
Even though Jaynes has only had two pro-fights with global odds, we’ll still breakdown his most profitable angles to back. Jaynes is 1-2 on the ‘Inside the distance’ prop for +2.5 units profit, thanks to cashing at +450 on that prop against Frank Camacho back in June.
As for total props, Justin Jaynes is 3-0 to the Under in the UFC. Bettors who wagered the Under in both of Jaynes fights in 2020 have profited +3.16 units.
The most profitable way to bet against Justin Jaynes in his UFC career has been on his opponent to win ‘Inside the Distance’, Jaynes tapped to Gavin Tucker back in August, who cashed at +333, while his most recent loss to Gabriel Benitez saw ‘Moggly’ cash at +160 on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop. Bettors who have backed Justin Jaynes opponent on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop are up +3.95 units.
UFC Prop Odds | Justin Jaynes | Devonte Smith |
---|---|---|
To Win Outright | +246 | -274 |
Inside the Distance | +325 | -155 |
by Decision | +775 | +450 |
Total Rounds | Over 1.5 (+145) | Under 1.5 (-155) |
Fight Goes Distance | Yes (+260) | No (-380) |
Where/When | UFC Apex, Las Vegas | Sat, Feb 6th, 5:00 PM ET |
If you’re going to bet this fight, the best way to back Justin Jaynes in this one is by betting him on the straight-up moneyline. Justin Jaynes is a +246 underdog on the UFC odds board, and is lined at +325 to win ‘Inside the Distance’, his opponent Devonte Smith has only been finished once in his UFC career, which came in his last fight against the heavy underdog Khama Worthy.
If you’re going to back Devonte Smith in this one, you are paying a steep price on both the moneyline, and the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop. Justin Jaynes has been finished in 2 of his 3 UFC bouts, and Smith has won by stoppage in all 3 of his UFC victories. Since the market is seemingly priced out on Devonte Smith, your best bet is to back the ‘Under 1.5’ rounds at -155, considering you are getting the same price on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop as you are on the Under, thus protecting yourself incase Justin Jaynes pulls off the upset victory.
Since 2021 | Record | Win % | Profit |
---|---|---|---|
Favorites | 20-15 | 57.1% | -5.83u |
Dogs | 15-20 | 42.9% | +5.56u |
Over | 24-11 | 68.6% | +4.65u |
Under | 11-24 | 31.4% | -12.07u |
Fight Goes Distance | 21-14 | 60% | +9.34u |
Fight Doesn’t Go Distance | 14-21 | 57.1% | -9.42u |
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