UFC Vegas 15 Odds Results: UFC Vegas 15 took place on Saturday, November 28th, 2020, at the UFC Apex Center in Paradise, Las Vegas, Nevada. It was headlined by the Light-Heavyweight battle between Anthony Smith and Devin Clark.
Anthony Smith def. Devin Clark
Result
Method Prop
Total Prop
Distance Prop
Smith (-128) by 1st Round Submission (triangle choke)
Smith by Submission (+450), Inside the Distance (+138)
Under 3.5 Rounds (-108)
Fight Goes Distance: No (-130)
Anthony Smith picks up the submission victory in the first round over Devin Clark via triangle choke. Smith cashes at +450 by submission, +138 ‘Inside the Distance’. With that, since Anthony Smith returned to the UFC in 2016, he has finished 7 of his last 14 fights. $100 Bettors who have backed Smith ‘Inside the Distance’ since 2016, have profited +$696. Going back to 2011, Anthony Smith has gone 10-8 in fights with professional odds posted, for a profit of +5.57 units profit.
Miguel Baeza def. Takashi Sato
Result
Method Prop
Total Prop
Distance Prop
Baeza (-205) via 2nd Round Submission (arm-triangle choke)
Baeza by Submission (+900), Inside the Distance (+137)
Over 1.5 Rounds (-137)
Fight Goes Distance: No (-189)
Miguel Baeza picks up the submission victory over Takashi Sato, cashing as the -205 favorite. With Baeza being such a heavy favorite, there was value on the Over 1.5 rounds at -137. With that, the Over has gone 86-45 for +18.24 units profit since the start of last year.
Parker Porter def. Josh Parisian
Result
Method Prop
Total Prop
Distance Prop
Porter (+201) via Decision
Porter by Decision (+800)
Over 1.5 (+120)
Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+375)
Parker Porter picks up the decision victory over Josh Parisian as a +201 underdog. With the win, the underdog improves to 34-49-2 for +2.05 units profit since the start of 2019. At a 40% win rate, it is worth a shot on a long shot underdog in the men’s heavyweight division at anything higher than +150, especially when it’s two un-ranked fighters. With the fight going the distance, it is 22nd fight to go Over in 2020, as the Over has 22-20 for an entire .02 units profit.
Bill Algeo def. Spike Carlyle
Result
Method Prop
Total Prop
Distance Prop
Algeo (+175) via Decision (unanimous)
Algeo by Decision (+300)
Over 2.5 Rounds (+105)
Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+137)
Bill Algeo wins as a +175 underdog, cashing as the second dog of the night in the UFC men’s featherweight division. With the fight going the distance, the Over cashes at +105, and with that the Over has gone 73-39 for 12 units profit in the featherweight division since the start of 2019.
Norma Dumont def. Ashlee Evans-Smith
Result
Method Prop
Total Prop
Distance Prop
Dumont (+137) via Decision (unanimous)
Dumont by Decision (+300)
Over 2.5 Rounds (-250)
Fight Goes Distance: Yes (-210)
Norma Dumont picks up a decision victory as a +137 moneyline underdog, it was just the 11th time in the women’s bantamweight division that an underdog has cashed since January of 2019. It was the 33rd fight since 2019 to go over the betting total in the UFC women’s bantamweight division, going 33-6 for +9.14 units profit.
Jonathan Pearce def. Kai Kamaka III
Result
Method Prop
Total Prop
Distance Prop
Pearce (+260) via 2nd round TKO (punches)
Pearce by T/KO (+750), Inside the Distance (+500)
Under 2.5 Rounds (+150)
Fight Goes Distance: No (+120)
Anderson dos Santos def. Martin Day
Result
Method Prop
Total Prop
Distance Prop
dos Santos (+150) via 1st round, Submission (guillotine choke)
dos Santos by T/KO (+605), Inside the Distance (+275)
Under 2.5 Rounds (+165)
Fight Goes Distance: No (+135)
Gina Mazany def. Rachael Ostovich
Result
Method Prop
Total Prop
Distance Prop
Mazany (-186) via 3rd Round TKO
Mazany by T/KO (+600), Inside the Distance (+260)
Over 2.5 Rounds (-170)
Fight Goes Distance: No (+160)
Su Mudaerji def. Malcolm Gordon
Result
Method Prop
Total Prop
Distance Prop
Mudaerji (-345) via KO (punches)
Mudaerji by T/KO (+120), Inside the Distance (-137)
Over 2.5 Rounds (-170)
Fight Goes Distance: No (-255)
Nathan Maness def. Luke Sanders
Result
Method Prop
Total Prop
Distance Prop
Maness (+137) via 2nd Round Submission. (rear-naked choke)
Maness by Submission (+715), Inside the Distance (+350)
Over 1.5 Rounds (+155)
Fight Goes Distance: No (-345)
We’re right back to Vegas next Saturday for UFC Vegas 16