Dustin Poirier Odds Approaching 3-1 to Upset Conor McGregor: On January 23, Conor McGregor returns to the Octagon when he faces off against rival Dustin Poirier in a rematch at UFC 257. These two met back in September 2014 at UFC 178, with McGregor KOing Poirier in the first round with punches in a featherweight contest.
Since then, both men have switched weight classes with plenty of success, with Poirier fighting at lightweight and McGregor competing at lightweight and welterweight. These are two of the most exciting fighters in the game today and this match has the potential to be an incredible fight.
UFC Odds via WilliamHill (Updated 1/20, 6:30 AM EST)
The current moneyline for the fight features McGregor as a -284 betting favorite and Poirier as a +260 underdog, which makes sense considering McGregor won the first fight. However, this is a much different fight the second time around. It’s at a different weight class and both men are at different points in their careers. Although McGregor is the clear favorite to win the fight, you can’t discount Poirier from earning the upset. Below are three ways Poirier can beat McGregor.
For Poirier, he has been fighting the best of the best at 155lbs since moving up permanently in 2015. During that stretch, Poirier has defeated a slew of former UFC champions in Alvarez, Anthony Pettis, Justin Gaethje, and Max Holloway, plus he has wins over current top-10 ranked fighters Dan Hooker and Carlos Diego Ferreira, plus other victories at 155lbs over Jim Miller, Bobby Green, Joseph Duffy, and Yancy Medeiros. Poirier’s only losses at lightweight came against Nurmagomedov and Michael Johnson. Poirier just has the far better resume when you compare it to McGregor’s at lightweight and it’s really not even close when you think about it.
As for McGregor, since the first Poirier fight, he’s fought just eight times in MMA and once in boxing, going 6-2 in MMA and 0-1 in boxing since the last time he fought Poirier. Moreover, since leaving the featherweight division in 2016, McGregor is just 3-2, with a 1-1 record at lightweight. He also has a TKO loss to Floyd Mayweather Jr. in boxing. McGregor essentially fights once a year now, at best, and that sort of inactivity could prove to be costly against a guy who is active as Porier is.
The biggest difference between these two is in the grappling. Poirier is the better wrestler and he is more clever with submissions as evidenced by his seven career tapout wins, compared to just one for McGregor. By the way, McGregor has been submitted four times during his MMA career. It’s not a kickboxing fight, it’s an MMA fight, and Poirier has more paths to victory.
The majority of the betting public will probably side with McGregor in the rematch against Poirier, but as I explained above, Poirier has several advantages in this fight as well. Don’t just blindly bet against “The Diamond” in this spot just because he was knocked out in 2014. This is going to be a competitive fight and it’s the perfect kickoff for a big 2021 for the UFC.
Keep it locked to Odds.com for all of your UFC betting needs. The best current odds and content can be found on our UFC page. All UFC Odds via WilliamHill (Updated 1/20, 3:00 AM EST)
As of late November 2020, Dustin Poirier is lined as a +175 underdog to beat Conor McGregor at UFC 257. Meaning, if you bet $100 on Poirier you would profit +$175. (Odds via WilliamHill)
UFC 257 will take place on January 23, 201. The location of the event at this time is not yet known, although UFC President Dana White has mentioned on numerous occasions that the fight will ‘most likely’ take place on Fight Island in Abu-Dhabi, UAE.
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