Louisiana Tech vs North Texas Odds: College Football Week 14

Bill Colleoni's photo By Dec 3, 2020
Louisiana Tech Odds

Louisiana Tech vs North Texas Odds – College Football Week 14: Since Skip Holtz became head coach back in 2013, the LA Tech Bulldogs have lost 21 of 27 games outright as the road underdog, but managed to cover the spread in 62% of those games, going 17-10 ATS.

Meanwhile, head coach Seth Littrell and the North Texas Green Wave have struggled when lined as the favorite, going 4-10 ATS in their last 14 as the chalk, and are an abysmal 7-21 ATS in their last 28 games overall.

WEEK 14 MATCH-UP
Louisiana Tech
north texas
Opening ATS Line
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
Total
Over 66 (-110)
Under 66 (-110)
Where/When
Apogee Stadium
Thur. Dec 3rd, 6:00 PM ET
Louisiana Tech have covered 5 of the last 6 meetings against North Texas, and are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games at Apogee Stadium. Dating back to 2006, the road team has covered 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams. 

Match-Up and Trends

Team
Record
ATS
O/U
Louisiana Tech
4-3
3-4
4-3
North Texas
3-4
3-4
4-3

Louisiana Tech are 2-2 ATS as an underdog in 2020, with two outright wins, including their last game on October 31st, a 37-34 win over UAB as a +370 moneyline dog.

North Texas are 2-1 ATS as a favorite in 2020, with the one game in which they failed to cover was a 41-31 outright loss to Southern Miss back in October as a -129 moneyline favorite.

Measure of Expectation

Team
ml profit
ml fade
avg. Margin
avg. ats margin
Louisiana Tech
+$323
-$264
-2
+0.2
North Texas
-$179
-$35
-6.7
-7.1

Based on the measure of expectation, you have to give the edge here to the Bulldogs.  Louisiana Tech haven’t played a game in all of November, and are well rested coming off a spirited upset victory over UAB. While North Texas clearly has the better offense (putting up 536.9 yards per game), their defense has been absolutely horrendous. If the Bulldogs can put up the same kind of numbers they have been putting up all year long, it may be a challenge for North Texas to hang around down the stretch.

As for the total, these two teams have a combined average of just under 69 points this season, and this total is currently sitting at 66. Basic common sense says that the Over has to be a play here, but it may be a classic case of a line that’s too good to be true.

The total may be an outright stay away, but the Bulldogs look to be the better bet to make, if you have to bet this game.

Week 14 College Football

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Keep it locked to Odds.com for all of your College Football betting needs for Week 14. The best current odds can be found on our College Football Odds Page. Stay tuned for plenty more College Football Picks throughout the season.