Weekday College Football: Wednesday Night MACtion

MAC Wednesday

College Football Picks – Wednesday Night MACtion: The Mid-Atlantic Conference is on tap again on  Wednesday with three games on the betting board. Two of the three games see the home team favored, while Northern Illinois is the solo home underdog on Wednesday MACtion betting card.


Eastern Michigan vs Ball State

Eastern Michigan head into Wednesday night’s tilt with Ball State riding a 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games overall, and are an impressive 21-6 ATS in their last 27 road games, a run that goes back five and a half years for the Eagles. Meanwhile, Ball State is riding a drastically different ATS trend, having covered just 12 home games in their last six seasons, going 12-25 ATS at home since 2014.

WEEK 11 MATCH-UP
Eastern Michigan
Ball State
+8
-8
Total
Over 61.5 (-110)
Under 61.5 (-110)
Where/When
Scheaumann Stadium
Wed. Nov 11th, 7:00 PM ET

Match-Up and Trends

Team
Team Record
Moneyline profit
ATS
O/U
Eastern Michigan
0-1
-$100
1-0
0-1
Ball State
0-1
-$100
0-1
1-0

Eastern Michigan has covered in 5 of their last 6 meetings at Scheaumann stadium, with the Over going a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 head to head at Ball State.

Measure of Expectation

Team
Avg. Margin
Avg. ATS Margin
moneyline fade
Eastern Michigan
-4
+0.5
+$47
Ball State
-7
-8
+$90

Both teams are 0-1 to start the season, but Eastern Michigan has performed right up to their expectations, covering the spread by a half-point against Kent State in game one of the season. The Eagles were expected to lose to Kent State and would only return $47 betting $100 against them last week. While Ball State fell below expectations, losing to Miami Ohio by 7 points in a game where they were the juiced pick’em favorite. As far as the measure of expectation goes, Eastern Michigan has the edge in this match-up.


Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois

Central Michigan comes into their second game of the season riding a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 as a favorite, and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall. They face a Northern Illinois Huskies squad that are coming off a disappointing 19 point loss to Buffalo last week, and have covered their last 4 games when bouncing back from a straight-up loss, a trend that goes back to last season.

WEEK 11 MATCH-UP
Central Michigan
Northern Illinois
-6
+6
Total
Over 58.5 (-110)
Under 58.5 (-110)
Where/When
Huskie Stadium
Wed. Nov 11th, 8:00 PM ET

Match-Up and Trends

Team
Team Record
moneyline profit
ATS
O/U
Central Michigan
1-0
$114
1-0
1-0
Northern Illinois
0-1
-$100
0-1
1-0

The home team has gone 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings between these two teams, with Central Michigan covering the last 6 overall, all of which came with the Chippewas as the underdog.

Measure of Expectation

Team
Avg. Margin
Avg. ATS Margin
moneyline fade
Central Michigan
+3
+5.5
-$100
Northern Illinois
-19
-4.5
+$17

Central Michigan cashed as a +114 underdog against Ohio last week, picking up the 30-27 victory. While the Huskies got romped by Buffalo in their first game by 19 points, failing to cover as a 15 point underdog As far as the measure of expectations, the edge has to go to the Chippewas who are coming in off of an upset victory and opened as just 6 point favorites against a Huskies team that could be worse than last year’s team that went 5-7.


Toledo vs Western Michigan

No time like the present, as the old saying goes, and that’s especially true for the Mid-American Conference after its late start to the 2020 schedule. The shortened slate sets up must-win scenarios just about every week, and we have one of those early showdowns Wednesday when the Toledo Rockets travel to take on the Western Michigan Broncos.you

WEEK 11 MATCH-UP
Toledo
Western Michigan
+2.5
-2.5
Total
Over 58.5 (-110)
Under 58.5 (-110)
Where/When
Waldo Stadium
Wed. Nov 11th, 8:00 PM ET


ESPN will carry the 8 p.m. (ET) boot in Kalmazoo where DraftKings has installed the Broncos as 2½-point favorites. Bettors looking to play the scoreboard are faced with a decision on a 59½-point total.

Match-Up and Trends

Team
Team Record
moneyline profit
ATS
O/U
Toledo
1-0
+$6
1-0
0-1
Western Michigan
1-0
+$9
1-0
1-0

Both teams were priced 6/1 on the college football futures to win the MAC, and each side got their seasons started with a victory last week. Jason Candle and the Rockets had an easy time of it at home against Bowling Green, building a 21-0 lead in the first quarter before coasting to a 38-3 triumph to cover as heavy 24-point chalk. Eli Peters threw didn’t have a huge day in terms of passing yards with just 214, but four of his 20 completions went for scores while the Toledo ground game rushed for more than 300 yards against a Falcons team picked last in the MAC.

Tim Lester’s Broncos also enjoyed an easy win and cover with a 58-13 decision at Akron. Kaleb Eleby completed just 12 passes, but they went for more than 260 yards and three touchdowns. Western Michigan also showed off a deep backfield than rushed for more the 200 yards and four more touchdowns.

Measure of Expectation

Team
Avg. Margin
Avg. ATS Margin
moneyline fade
Toledo
+35
+11
-$100
Western Michigan
+45
+25.5
-$100

Toledo vs Western Michigan Pick

These two have been butting heads annually since 1950, Toledo winning and covering the last three to build a 44-30 lead in the rivalry. The first two wins in the present streak were lopsided in the Rockets’ favor before last year’s 31-24 final in Toledo as Western Michigan’s late rally fell short. The weatherman is calling for chilly temps in the upper-30s at kickoff, and I’m laying the points on the Broncos.

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Keep it locked to Odds.com for all of your College Football betting needs for Week 11. The best current odds can be found at our College Football Odds Page. Stay tuned for plenty more College Football Picks throughout the season.