UFC 258 Odds and Results Post-Show: Usman vs Burns

By Al Mac Feb 13, 2021

UFC 258 Results and Odds: UFC 258 took place on Saturday, February 13th from the UFC Apex Center in Las Vegas, Nevada.

The event was headlined by a UFC Welterweight Championship bout between the ‘Nigerian Nightmare’ Kamaru Usman, and Gilbert ‘Durinho’ Burns.

Kamaru Usman won the bout via a devastating third-round TKO. Cashing as the -240 favorite, and at +305 on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop. 

With the victory, Usman now has two finishes in three title defenses, with it being only his 4th win by stoppage in his 13 fight UFC career. Going back to his Legacy FC days, Usman is now 14-0 in his last 14 fights, with +6.63 units profit on the moneyline.

In five events so far in 2021, 34 of the first 57 fights have gone the distance, profiting for +10.26 units along the way, with 40 of the 57 going Over the betting total for +9.54 units. The Underdog has remained profitable at a marginal +0.41 units, despite cashing at just a 36.8% rate so far in 2021.

Earlier in the day it was announced that the lead-off bout of the event between Gillian Robertson and Miranda Maverick would be scratched from the card, due to Robertson dealing with a ‘non-covid’ illness.

Kamaru Usman (c) def. Gilbert Burns

Kamaru Usman wins via 3rd round stoppage, cashing at +275 on the T/KO prop and +305 on the Inside the Distance prop. With the T/KO win, Usman now has 4 stoppage wins in his 13 fight UFC career, and has profited +2.73 units on the prop since 2015 and the start of his UFC career.

 Alexa Grasso def. Maycee Barber

Alexa Grasso picks up the decision victory as a slight coin flip favorite, with the victory. Grasso is now 9-3 in her last 12 fights going back to her Invicta FC debut in 2014, profiting +2.04 units on the moneyline in her career. Grasso has now gone to a decision in 7 of her 8 UFC bouts, picking up the decision in 5 of them.

Kelvin Gastelum def. Ian Heinisch

Kelvin Gastelum cashes on the Decision prop for the sixth time in his UFC career at +125. Gastelum is now now 6-12 on the ‘to Win by Decision’ prop for +7.91 units in his UFC career.

Ricky Simon def. Brian Kelleher

Ricky Simon comes into this fight with a 10-2 record in his last pro-mma bouts, going back to his time between the Contender Series and LFA in 2017. A flat bet on Simon on the moneyline would have profited +3.79 units so far in his pro career. Meanwhile, Brian Kelleher has 10 fights in the UFC, with 5 finishes, cashing for +13.24 units profit on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop in his UFC career.

Julian Marquez def. Maki Pitolo

Maki Pitolo comes into the fight with a 2-3 record since his debut on the Contender Series in 2019. Coming into Saturday, a bet on Pitolo’s opponent to win by decision has profited +5.8 units. Meanwhile, Julian Marquez comes into the fight with a 2-1 record on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop in his UFC career.

Anthony Hernandez def. Rodolfo Vieira

Anthony Hernandez picks up one of the biggest upsets of recent memory, and definitely the biggest upset of 2021. Anthony Hernandez capitalized on an ultra-gassed Rodolfo Vieira and was able to submit the five-time jiujitsu champion with an anaconda choke. It is the 30th Middleweight fight of the last 13 months to go Under the betting total, with Hernandez cashing at 30-1 to win by submission.

Belal Muhammad def. Dhiego Lima

Belal Muhammed picks up the decision victory in a fight that was alot closer than the lines indicated but in the end Muhammed pulled out the wins after a gutty 15 minute performance. It was the second welterweight bout of the night to go Over the betting total, and th

Polyana Viana def. Mallory Martin

Polyana Viana picks up the impressive submission victory over Mallory Martin in the first round via arm-bar. With the victory, the underdog has now won 4 of the last 6 ‘coin flip bouts’ with a favorite lined at -150 or better.

Chris Gutiérrez def. Andre Ewell

Chris Gutiérrez picks up the unanimous decision over Andre Ewell. With the fight going the distance, 6 of Ewell’s 7 career UFC bouts have gone ‘Over’ the betting total for +3.07 units profit.

Gabriel Green def. Philip Rowe

For all of the latest UFC betting angles, check out our UFC Betting Trends page.

2021 UFC Betting Trends