Arkansas vs Florida Pick: College Football Week 11

Arkansas vs Florida Pick - College Football Week 11:

Arkansas vs Florida Pick – College Football Week 11: Arkansas comes into their game against Florida on Saturday night riding an 8-0 ATS streak, while the Gators are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. It’s SEC action on Saturday night from the Sunshine State.

WEEK 11 MATCH-UP
Arkansas
Florida
+17
-17
Total
Over 60.5 (-110)
Under 60.5 (-110)
Where/When
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Sat. Nov 14th, 7:00 PM ET

Match-Up and Trends

Team
Team Record
Moneyline profit
ATS
O/U
Arkansas
3-3
+$392
6-0
2-4
Florida
4-1
+$74
3-2
4-1

The Gators have covered in 5 of the last 7 meetings with Arkansas, with the Under hitting in 3 of the last 4 head to head meetings.

Measure of Expectation

Team
Avg. Margin
Avg. ATS Margin
moneyline fade
Arkansas
-1.7
+10.8
-$266
Florida
+13.4
+4.3
-$212

With a 3-3 record, the Arkansas Razorbacks have performed just as well, if not better against the expectation than Florida. The Gators have won games by an average of 13.4 points but have only gone 3-2 ATS in their 5 games played. While the Razorbacks have lost games by an average of 1.7 points, but are covering by an average of 10.8 points per game, with an incredible 6-0 ATS record in 2020.

If we’re going off of the expectations, Arkansas should be the side to take on Saturday night, as the Gators are likely the better team, but might not be able to hold a 17 point lead for the entire game. Take the Razorbacks ATS.

AlabamaLSU