Minnesota vs Illinois Pick: College Football Week 10
By
Nov 7, 2020
Minnesota vs Illinois Pick – College Football Week 10: A pair of winless 0-2 teams square off in Champagne, Illinois, when the Minnesota Gophers take on the Illinois Fighting Illini set to start at 3:30 PM EST.
The line opened with Minnesota installed as a 7-point road favorite. Through three days of betting action, balanced betting action between Minnesota and Illinois backers has kept the line unchanged. The total for this game opened at 62.5 points and has declined steadily to a current level of 61 points. The number of tickets wagered on the total is even, but 76% of the money bet has been on the ‘UNDER’.
Minnesota vs Illinois: Match-Up and Betting Trends
The spread and total betting lines imply a 34-27 Minnesota win. The machine learning models project that Minnesota will score a minimum of 30 points, gain a minimum of 7 yards-per-play, and have fewer turnovers than Illinois in this matchup. Since 2005, Minnesota is 15-2 SU for 88% wins and 16-1 ATS for 94% winning bets and covered by an average of 13.4 points when scoring 28 or more points and gaining 7.0 or more yards-per-play. Minnesota is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS for 89% winning bets and covered by an average of 14.4 points when scoring 28 or more points, gaining 7.0 or more yards-per-play, and having fewer turnovers than their opponents in games played since 2005.
The Illini are a money-burning 0-25 SU and 4-20-1 ATS for 17% winning bets that failed to cover the spread by an average of 9 points when allowing 28 or more points and 7.0 or more yards-per-play in games played since 2005. Filtering this query by home games shows the Ilinni posting an 0-9 SU record and 2-7 ATS for 22% winning bets that failed to cover the spread by an average of 10.6 points.
A Tried and True First Half Betting System
This betting system has earned a highly profitable 39-9 ATS record and 81% winning bets spanning the last ten seasons. There are three requirements.
- Wager on any team coming off two consecutive losses to conference rivals.
- The team allowed 30 or more points in each loss.
- The opponent is coming off a loss but did cover the spread.
- Take the Minnesota Gophers as a Best Bet.
Keep it locked to Odds.com for all of your College Football betting needs for Week 10. The best current odds can be found at our College Football Odds Page. Stay tuned for plenty more College Football Picks throughout the season.