Alonzo Menifield vs. Ovince Saint Preux Prediction and Underdog Best Bets #UFCVegas7

By James Lynch Aug 20, 2020

This week we will look at UFC Vegas 7 Alonzo Menifield vs. Ovince Saint Preux Prediction and my underdog best bets taking place this Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The main event features former lightweight champion, Frankie Edgar, making his bantamweight debut against Pedro Munhoz. The co-main event pits former light heavyweight title challenger Ovince Saint Preux against rising prospect Alonzo Menifield.

From a betting perspective,  the biggest favorite on the card is strawweight Mariya Agapova at a whopping -1250 against Shana Dobson  I don’t see any value on Agapova at those odds.

Alonzo Menifield vs. Ovince Saint Preux Odds

Alonzo Menifield looks to rebound from his first career loss when he battles Ovince Saint Preux in the co-main event.

Menifield (9-1) is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Devin Clark at UFC 250 in June which snapped his eight-fight win streak. It was the first time in Menifield’s career he went the distance after finishing the majority of his opponents by knockout.

Saint Preux (24-14) had an unsuccessful stint at heavyweight where he lost an uninspiring decision to Ben Rothwell at UFC Fight Night back on May 13th. The 37-year-old has lost four of his last six fights and has struggled with consistency in his career since winning three straight fights back in 2017.

While “OSP” has a clear experience advantage in this fight having 38-career fights to Menifield’s 10, I just don’t see value on him in this matchup. Expect Menifield to find his range early in the fight and land a knockout at some point during this light heavyweight showdown. For that reason, I do see value on Menifield at -130.

Marcin Prachino vs. Mike Rodriguez Odds

Mike Rodriguez looks to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time in his career when he tangles with Marcin Prachino on the main card.

Rodriguez (10-4) has gone 1-2-NC in four fights with the UFC, most recently losing by first-round knockout to Da Un Jung at UFC Busan in December. The 31-year-old will be looking for his first win since December 2018.

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Prachino (13-4) will be looking for his first UFC victory after dropping both of his bouts in the Octagon. The 32-year-old is coming off two-straight stoppage losses to Sam Alvey and Magomed Ankalaev after amassing an eight-fight win streak.

This is a much closer matchup than the odds indicate and for that reason, I do see value on Prachino as the underdog at +195. Both light heavyweights have solid striking, and it’s possible if Prachino gets his timing down, he could knock out Rodriguez during the three-round affair. Add in the fact the majority of Prachino’s losses have been to top competition, including a setback against to Aleksandar Rakic in 2014, makes me think the Polish fighter could pull off the upset.

Joe Solecki vs. Austin Hubbard Odds

In a matchup that was initially slated to take place in June, Joe Solecki battles Austin Hubbard in the lightweight division.

Solecki (9-2) was forced out of his UFC Fight Night bout against Hubbard after testing positive for COVID-19 and was replaced by Max Rohskopf. The North Carolina native had a successful UFC debut in December, defeating Matt Wiman by unanimous decision at UFC on ESPN 7. The 26-year-old has won six of his last seven fights.

Hubbard (12-4) defeated Rohskopf in his last fight via TKO retirement after his opponent failed to answer the bell for the second round. With the victory, the 29-year-old pushed his UFC record to 2-2 overall in the Octagon.

While it’s not major Hubbard does have a height and reach advantage heading into the matchup. The Colorado native also trains at the prestigious Elevation Fight Team with standouts Neil Magny, Cory Sandhagen, and current UFC interim lightweight champion Justin Gaethje. While the odds are close, I do see value on Hubbard as the underdog at +115. “Thud” has arguably fought better competition and both his UFC setbacks are against top fighters like Mark O Madsen and Davi Ramos. Hubbard has also never been finished in the UFC and if Solecki can’t get a finish early, it’s possible we could see an upset here.

Expect Hubbard to put on his best performance to date and earn a clear cut decision over the Dana White Contender Series winner.